Algeria vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
ARM
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 0
SVN
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
BFA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BFA
3 - 2
ALG
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 1
ROU
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ROU
0 - 0
ARG
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ROU
1 - 1
GRC
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
GRC
3 - 1
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
2 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |