Algeria vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 0
GAM
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
ALG
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
5 - 1
MOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
ALG
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
RWA
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
RWA
0 - 2
NGA
15%
23%
61%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SSD
3 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 2
RWA
77%
17%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |