Algeria vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
ALG
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
ALG
14%
23%
62%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
MOZ
3 - 1
UGA
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZAM
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 2
MOZ
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MLI
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |