Algeria vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 2
ALG
61%
25%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
0 - 0
ALG
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 2
ALG
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TAN
0 - 1
MAR
17%
26%
57%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
CTA
86%
12%
3%
|
87 | 9 | 78 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
EQG
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |