Algeria vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 2
ALG
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 2
TUN
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
6 - 0
MTN
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
3 - 1
MTN
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
COD
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 0
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZIM
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |