Algeria vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
ALG
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
BFA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MTN
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZIM
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GUI
6 - 1
MOZ
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NIG
2 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |