Algeria vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2000 |
ALG
2 - 0
BFA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CMR
2 - 1
ALG
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
RSA
1 - 1
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GAB
1 - 3
ALG
25%
30%
46%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2000 |
ALG
0 - 0
COD
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 0
MLI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
CPV
2 - 0
GUI
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
GUI
2 - 1
EQG
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
GUI
1 - 1
PAK
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
GUI
3 - 1
MLI
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |