Algeria vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ALG
1 - 0
SDN
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ALG
0 - 0
BFA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
4 - 2
GAB
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
GAB
2 - 2
PNG
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ANG
3 - 0
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |