Algeria vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
NGA
1 - 0
ALG
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ALG
42%
30%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 1
JOR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
GAB
2 - 2
ANG
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 1
GAB
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GAB
1 - 1
ZIM
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
EGY
2 - 0
GAB
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |