Algeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CIV
2 - 3
ALG
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 0
ALG
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
0 - 1
ALG
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 0
ALG
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
EGY
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
CMR
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
BEN
91%
7%
2%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
2 - 0
MOZ
91%
7%
2%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 0
MLI
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |