Algeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
3 - 0
CIV
51%
28%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1990 |
ALG
5 - 1
NGA
55%
27%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ALG
0 - 0
ROU
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1989 |
SEN
0 - 0
ALG
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALG
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1990 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
35%
30%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
CIV
3 - 1
EGY
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
AUT
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
KOR
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
EGY
0 - 0
DEN
33%
30%
37%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |