Algeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ALG
2 - 1
BGR
53%
20%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1963 |
EGY
0 - 1
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 0
CHN
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1963 |
IDN
2 - 2
EGY
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1963 |
IDN
1 - 3
EGY
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ETH
4 - 2
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |