Algeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MTN
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
CIV
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 2
TOG
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NIG
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 1
GHA
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
TOG
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |