Algeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 3
MLI
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ANG
2 - 1
ALG
46%
28%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
UGA
2 - 2
BFA
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BFA
3 - 1
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
BFA
2 - 0
COD
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
GHA
2 - 1
BFA
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
TOG
1 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |