Algeria vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 2
SEN
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
ALG
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 3
GAB
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
NGA
1 - 0
ALG
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
BFA
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CPV
1 - 0
BFA
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BFA
2 - 0
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |