Algeria vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 0
SVN
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
BFA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BFA
3 - 2
ALG
41%
28%
30%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
UAE
3 - 4
ARM
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ARM
3 - 4
IRQ
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
ARM
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
ARM
83%
13%
3%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |