Algeria vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MWI
0 - 2
ALG
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 2
ALG
23%
28%
50%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 1
ALG
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 1
RUS
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MWI
0 - 2
ALG
25%
28%
48%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
MWI
3 - 2
ETH
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
MWI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |