Algeria vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
ALG
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
5 - 1
MOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
ALG
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
ALG
14%
23%
62%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
ALG
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAM
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
GAM
3 - 3
KEN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 0
GAM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
GAB
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |