Algeria vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 0
ALG
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
ALG
3 - 0
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 0
ALG
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 1
COD
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 2
MLI
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 0
ALG
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 0
SEN
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
LBR
1 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
SLE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |