Algeria vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
ALG
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
TAN
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
NIG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
25%
63%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TOG
3 - 2
CPV
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CPV
3 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
CPV
80%
15%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
CPV
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CPV
0 - 0
SWZ
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |