Andorra vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AND
0 - 3
BIH
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CYP
5 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AND
1 - 4
ISR
8%
16%
77%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
6 - 0
AND
81%
14%
6%
|
40 | 90 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
WAL
11%
20%
70%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 1
EQG
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 0
EQG
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
COD
0 - 0
EQG
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
GHA
3 - 0
EQG
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 2
EQG
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |