Selbitz vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AMB
6 - 1
SEL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 2
SEL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 4
AUB
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
3 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 2
AMM
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
HOL
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
0 - 0
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
WUR
2 - 0
AHA
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AMM
1 - 2
WUR
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
NEU
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |