Selbitz vs Trogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KLE
2 - 1
SEL
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 1
SEL
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
4 - 3
BAY
25%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
SEL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
ERB
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
HOL
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAY
14%
20%
66%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
TRO
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
JFO
4 - 0
TRO
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 2
MEM
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |