Selbitz vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 3
SEL
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 2
FRO
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
WEI
6 - 1
SEL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 3
NEU
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
JRE
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 0
ERB
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUB
0 - 1
ERL
66%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 1
ELT
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AMB
5 - 0
ERL
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MEM
0 - 0
ERL
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |