Selbitz vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AHA
0 - 1
SEL
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SEL
3 - 3
MEM
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
SEL
23%
21%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 2
ERB
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 2
SEL
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERB
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
BAY
39%
24%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 1
ELT
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
0 - 3
BAY
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 1
ERL
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |