Selargius vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CIT
2 - 1
SEL
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SEL
1 - 1
ANZ
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 0
SEL
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SEL
5 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POM
1 - 2
SEL
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FID
1 - 0
PRO
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
FID
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FID
1 - 0
SOR
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
FID
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FID
0 - 2
CIT
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |