Etimesgut vs Bayburt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etimesgut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
ELA
1 - 4
SEK
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SEK
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BUG
1 - 5
SEK
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SEK
0 - 0
KIR
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
BOD
1 - 0
SEK
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayburt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 1
TUR
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
KAR
0 - 3
BAY
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 1
SER
22%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +4 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 1
4EY
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ELA
3 - 2
BAY
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |