SJK vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
6º
5º
20
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 40 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 28 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 21 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
KUO
1 - 0
SEI
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
2 - 2
HAK
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
3 - 1
OUL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SEI
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
1 - 0
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
JSP
1 - 2
VAA
2%
6%
92%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 0
ILV
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJK
3 - 1
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
TPT
0 - 5
VAA
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |