SJK vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ILV
1 - 2
SEI
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 4
SEI
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEI
3 - 1
WJK
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SEI
3 - 1
TP4
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 1
SEI
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ILV
1 - 2
SEI
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 3
ILV
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 2
LPA
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 1
FCJ
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
IKI
0 - 7
ILV
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |