UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-4
SJK vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SJK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
SEI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SEI
3 - 2
PK3
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ILV
2 - 1
SEI
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
INT
1 - 3
SEI
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
HAK
1 - 6
SEI
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
SEI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 3
BAT
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FKG
1 - 1
BAT
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 0
VIT
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |