UP Segureña vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 2
CAM
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SPR
0 - 0
SEG
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SEG
5 - 0
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SEG
1 - 1
MON
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
SEG
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
UDF
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 3
CDB
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RHI
2 - 2
UDF
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UDF
5 - 2
ALA
49%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |