UP Segureña vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+140%
+386%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
BEL
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BIE
5 - 5
SEG
34%
24%
42%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
0 - 4
CDE
11%
15%
74%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEG
20%
20%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SEG
4 - 1
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 1
BIE
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
5 - 0
UDF
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 2
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
UDF
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 0
ACE
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |