UP Segureña vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPR
6 - 0
SEG
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 0
RHI
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
SEG
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDS
1 - 0
SEG
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SEG
1 - 2
BIE
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDF
1 - 1
BIE
47%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
UDF
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDF
3 - 0
CDB
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDF
4 - 0
SFO
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RHI
2 - 1
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |