UP Segureña vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDE
4 - 1
SEG
75%
14%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SEG
4 - 5
CPO
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCL
3 - 2
SEG
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SEG
1 - 0
CPG
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 1
SEG
12%
16%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CPO
3 - 0
EMD
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EMD
0 - 1
CPG
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 2
EMD
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EMD
0 - 1
USA
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
EMD
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |