UP Segureña vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BIE
0 - 2
SEG
42%
24%
35%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SEG
5 - 1
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 1
SEG
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SEG
2 - 0
ACE
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
SEG
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 1
BIE
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ATH
4 - 1
CDB
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ACE
4 - 1
ATH
61%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |