Segesta vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DUB
1 - 1
SEG
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SEG
2 - 2
OPA
71%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
STU
0 - 2
SEG
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SEG
2 - 1
KRK
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
JAP
2 - 2
SEG
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VRA
1 - 1
KUS
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VRB
1 - 1
VRA
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VRA
0 - 2
ZAG
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAK
1 - 0
VRA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 3
VRA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |