Segesta vs Stupnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KRK
4 - 0
SEG
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SEG
3 - 1
JAP
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SEG
2 - 2
RUD
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ZAD
2 - 2
SEG
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUK
1 - 1
SEG
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stupnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STU
0 - 3
KUS
12%
20%
69%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VRB
1 - 0
STU
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
VRA
3 - 1
STU
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
STU
2 - 1
DUG
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
STU
2 - 3
RIJ
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |