Segesta vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZAG
4 - 3
SEG
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SEG
2 - 1
NKD
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
RUD
3 - 1
SEG
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SEG
1 - 0
NKZ
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
SEG
2 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HNK
1 - 0
INT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 2
HNK
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HNK
1 - 0
LUK
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NKD
3 - 0
HNK
25%
28%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
OSI
1 - 0
HNK
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |