Security Systems vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
MOW
3 - 3
SES
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SES
3 - 3
SUA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SES
2 - 1
MAS
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
SES
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SES
2 - 1
TAF
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NIC
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 0
POL
57%
22%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HGH
1 - 0
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
GAL
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |