Security Systems vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
BLF
1 - 1
SES
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SES
2 - 3
GAL
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 2
SES
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TOW
1 - 1
SES
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SES
2 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
POL
2 - 0
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
ORA
46%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
BLF
0 - 0
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |