Security Systems vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
SES
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VTM
3 - 0
SES
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
GAB
2 - 0
SES
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SES
0 - 0
GAL
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SES
0 - 0
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SUA
4 - 2
BOT
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 0
UNI
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOT
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
CEN
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
TAF
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |