Security Systems vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Security Systems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TAF
0 - 1
SES
22%
25%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SES
1 - 2
GAB
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 2
SES
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SES
0 - 2
GAL
28%
27%
46%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
MIS
1 - 1
SES
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 2
POL
44%
29%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MCS
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
BRH
0 - 1
BOT
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
EXT
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |