FK Sabail vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
57
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
KON
0 - 2
SEB
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 0
SHA
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
SEB
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 3
SEB
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 3
ZIR
26%
28%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 2
SUM
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
SFK
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 3
SEB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |