FK Sabail vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
25
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
SEB
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
SUM
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
FKQ
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
25%
58%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
SFK
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUM
1 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |