FK Sabail vs Sabah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
81
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
SEB
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
SEB
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
FKQ
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 2
FKQ
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 2
SFK
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SFK
4 - 0
SUM
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 0
FCK
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
SFK
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |