FK Sabail vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
10º
10º
89
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SEB
0 - 0
TUR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
SEB
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SEB
1 - 2
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
SEB
0 - 2
SHA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
QAR
1 - 0
ZIR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 0
QAR
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 4
QAR
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
0 - 0
QAR
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
QAR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |