FK Sabail vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 3
SEB
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
FKQ
4 - 2
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 2
SEB
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 2
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 1
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 1
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |