FK Sabail vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
SEB
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
4 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SFK
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 3
FKQ
8%
20%
72%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |