FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
10º
10º
43
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
SEB
0 - 2
SHA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 1
SEB
56%
21%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 0
SEB
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
SEB
0 - 0
SFK
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 1
TUR
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
FKN
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 0
FCK
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
1 - 0
SUM
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FKN
0 - 1
QAR
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |