FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
SEB
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
4 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 1
TUR
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKN
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
5 - 2
FCK
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |